Uncovered interest parity: it works, but not for long
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Uncovered Interest Parity in Crisis
Abstract This paper tests for uncovered interest parity (UIP) using daily data for twenty-three developing and developed countries through the crisis-strewn 1990s. We find that UIP works better on average in the 1990s than in previous eras in the sense that the slope coefficient from a regression of exchange rate changes on interest differentials yields a positive coefficient (which is sometime...
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We test Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP) using LIBOR interest rates for a wide range of maturities. In contrast to other markets, LIBOR markets have minimal frictions which could lead to rejecting UIP. Using panel unit root test suggested by Palm, Smeekes, and Urbain (2010) and cointegration techniques by Westerlund (2007), we find that UIP holds for shortterm maturities, when market-specific he...
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This paper proposes a di¤erent empirical approach to estimate the UIP by analyzing a large number of cross-country bilateral exchange rates using cross-section analysis. Di¤erent from conventional time-series UIP, cross-sectional UIP is examined with single equation estimation and panel regression model estimation. The exchange rates analyzed here include a broad spectrum of countries: develope...
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McCallum [J. Monet. Econ. 33 (1994) 105–132] introduces policy behavior to resolve previous empirical rejections of the uncovered interest parity (UIP) theory. In this note, we reexamine his policy behavior argument. First, we extend the data set used by McCallum to include the recent 8 years, and contrary to the analysis provided by McCallum, we make a thorough econometric analysis of his UIP ...
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This paper examines uncovered interest rate parity (UIRP) and the expectations hypotheses of the term structure (EHTS) at both short and long horizons. The statistical evidence against UIRP is mixed and is currencynot horizon-dependent. Economically, the deviations from UIRP are less pronounced than previously documented. The evidence against the EHTS is statistically more uniform, but, economi...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of International Economics
سال: 2005
ISSN: 0022-1996
DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2004.07.004